Are we going to war? Slate updates the odds.

Are we going to war? Slate updates the odds.

Are we going to war? Slate updates the odds.

The odds of war in Iraq.
Dec. 27 2002 5:06 PM

Koreography

The odds of war.

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Chance of Invasion
Today: 75 percent

North Korean nuclear rearmament threatens focus on Iraq. White House says 1) U.S. military action against North Korea isn't under consideration; and 2) North Korea's "threats or broken commitments" won't blackmail U.S. into negotiations. Another bombing incident in southern Iraqi no-fly zone. Inspectors continue interviews with Iraqi scientists; Iraq says U.S. tried to bribe scientists to defect months ago. Turkey won't pledge support for war until Security Council hears from inspectors, presumably on Jan. 27. Peace spin: Iraq says scientists can decide individually whether to be interviewed outside the country. War spin: They know if they leave, they'll be killed.

Yesterday: 77 percent

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