Are we going to war? Slate updates the odds.
Are we going to war? Slate updates the odds.
The odds of war in Iraq.
Feb. 13 2003 4:39 PM

Advance Men

The odds of war.


Chance of Invasion
Today: 93 percent

Washington Post reports U.S. troops are in Iraq laying groundwork for invasion. (Saddameter doesn't count this as invasion.) U.N. team declares Iraqi missiles with excessive range a clear violation of U.N. resolutions. U.S. suggests this finding justifies war; Russia suggests it justifies more inspections. Britain rejects U.S. view that Iraq's terms for U-2 flights are "unacceptable." NATO postpones resolution of Turkish defense aid request until after Blix's Friday briefing to U.N. Security Council. Powell indicates U.S. is working with "a number of countries" to "entice" Saddam to step down.


Will Saletan writes about politics, science, technology, and other stuff for Slate. He’s the author of Bearing Right.