Are we going to war? Slate updates the odds.

Are we going to war? Slate updates the odds.

Are we going to war? Slate updates the odds.

The odds of war in Iraq.
Feb. 18 2003 4:59 PM

Ankara Management

The odds of war.

39_030204_saddameter_91

Chance of Invasion
Today: 92 percent

Inspectors say that Iraqi scientists have refused unrecorded interviews since Feb. 7 and that this is unsatisfactory. Turkish-U.S. "final offer" negotiating game continues. Body language says U.S. will blink first. U.S. and Britain plan to introduce a resolution this week saying Iraq is in "material breach" and faces "serious consequences." Blair defends Bush against British anti-war protesters. Chirac implicitly threatens Eastern Europeans with rejection of EU membership over pro-U.S./anti-French statements on Iraq.

22_saddameter_graph