Are we going to war? Slate updates the odds.

Are we going to war? Slate updates the odds.

Are we going to war? Slate updates the odds.

The odds of war in Iraq.
Feb. 17 2003 3:37 PM

Cold Turkey

The odds of war.

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Chance of Invasion
Today: 92 percent

Huge demonstrations in London, Rome, and elsewhere cause media to question steadiness of U.S. allies. Turkey gets cold feet over accepting troops. Peace spin: If U.N. balks, Turkey won't help. War spin: If U.N. balks, Turkey wants a bigger bribe. U.S. wins NATO aid to Turkey without requirement that Security Council must approve war. France fails to add EU to its anti-war coalition. U.S. plans new resolution listing steps Iraq must take before March 1 council meeting, including destruction of missiles with excess range. Annan warns Iraq not to make council feel "we're just wasting our time and we should call a halt to the inspections."

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